BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Arizona State 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Arizona State 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
17.18 |
23.47 (+6.29) |
32.17 |
32.47 (+0.31) |
30.22 (-2.25) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
317.00 |
348.46 (+31.46) |
414.00 |
396.47 (-17.53) |
384.47 (-12.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.63 |
5.08 (+0.45) |
6.05 |
5.88 (-0.17) |
5.68 (-0.20) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
32.82 |
22.56 (-10.26) |
23.00 |
21.26 (-1.74) |
21.59 (+0.32) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
412.55 |
339.27 (-73.27) |
318.33 |
293.25 (-25.08) |
304.76 (+11.51) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.12 |
5.33 (-0.79) |
4.75 |
4.72 (-0.03) |
4.87 (+0.15) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.6 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-09-01 |
Wyoming |
37.19 |
16.22 |
-20.97 |
53.41 |
83.64% |
W 48-7 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-08 |
Mississippi State |
35.92 |
23.77 |
-12.15 |
59.69 |
69.49% |
W 30-23 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-12 |
@Texas State |
35.84 |
38.74 |
+2.91 |
74.58 |
45.34% |
W 31-28 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Texas Tech |
24.37 |
33.63 |
+9.27 |
58.00 |
35.14% |
L 22-30 |
3-1 |
| 2024-10-06 |
Kansas |
28.59 |
23.69 |
-4.90 |
52.27 |
57.85% |
W 35-31 |
4-1 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Utah |
21.14 |
16.72 |
-4.42 |
37.86 |
57.09% |
W 27-19 |
5-1 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Cincinnati |
25.99 |
28.61 |
+2.62 |
54.59 |
45.80% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Oklahoma State |
32.59 |
29.37 |
-3.22 |
61.96 |
55.17% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
UCF |
34.13 |
24.95 |
-9.19 |
59.08 |
64.73% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
@Kansas State |
19.19 |
36.13 |
+16.94 |
55.32 |
22.83% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
BYU |
23.90 |
27.15 |
+3.25 |
51.05 |
44.78% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Arizona |
24.71 |
28.92 |
+4.21 |
53.63 |
43.25% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
2.08% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 6-6 |
12.18% |
2.08% |
97.92% |
| 7-5 |
27.43% |
14.25% |
85.75% |
| 8-4 |
31.66% |
41.69% |
58.31% |
| 9-3 |
19.78% |
73.34% |
26.66% |
| 10-2 |
6.16% |
93.13% |
6.87% |
| 11-1 |
0.72% |
99.28% |
0.71% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.01% |
| 1-11 |
0.13% |
| 2-10 |
0.86% |
| 3-9 |
3.56% |
| 4-8 |
9.81% |
| 5-7 |
18.18% |
| 6-6 |
23.55% |
| 7-5 |
21.67% |
| 8-4 |
13.91% |
| 9-3 |
6.19% |
| 10-2 |
1.81% |
| 11-1 |
0.30% |
| 12-0 |
0.02% |